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COMMENTARY
Two Separate Paths
By KYAW ZWA MOE Thursday, November 25, 2010


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Aung San Suu Kyi has wasted no time in raising important issues—national reconciliation, dialogue with the military leaders, a nationwide conference with ethnic groups, non-violent revolution—and so on in less than two weeks since her release.

All she got from the ruling generals was sheer silence, which must be interpreted as denial aimed directly at her. 

Kyaw Zwa Moe is managing editor of the Irrawaddy magazine. He can be reached at [email protected].

But that's not news. Burma's pro-democracy icon has called for dialogue with the junta since 1988 when she entered Burma's political arena. She's actually met with senior leaders three times.

“We met, but I can't say we had a true dialogue,” Suu Kyi told The Irrawaddy in an interview a few days after her release, when asked about her meetings with leaders, including Snr-Gen Than Shwe, in 1994, 1995 and 2000. 

Her 15-year spent in detention under house arrest during the past 21 years hasn't caused her to change her ideas about the role dialogue could play in bringing about national reconciliation. But she doesn't think it will happen in the near future. 

Asked if she thought she would have a chance to go to Naypyidaw to meet with the junta head in the future, Suu Kyi said, “I don't think that way. I think of how I am going to make it happen.” She said that Gandhi was very fond of the  Christian hymn “Lead, Kindly Light” though he was a follower of Hinduism. The hymn says, “I do not ask to see the distant scene; one step enough for me.”
 
“Gandhi believed that, and so do I,” said the 65-year-old Nobel Peace laureate the interview over the phone. “I will do my best to walk, step by step. If I am on the right track, I will reach the right place.”

However, so far the idea of dialogue doesn't seem to be realistic. In the past two decades, Burmese political groups and the international community have urged the junta to hold talks with political and ethnic organizations, to be led by Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy, whose landslide victory in the 1990 election was ignored by the military regime.   

All domestic and international forces and their efforts—economic sanctions, pro-engagement policies, armed struggles—have failed to get the generals to a table to hold talks with the opposition groups.

“Dialogue must be a win-win situation for both parties,” Suu Kyi said in the interview. “I have said to them [the generals] before, but they don't seem to understand it. I am not sure if they don't understand it or if they don't believe it. Perhaps it is because in the military, there no such thing as a negotiated settlement. This is something I really need to give a lot of thought to.”  

If we look back at the country's political history of the past 20 years and the political approaches of the military regime, talks look to be out of the question. Realistically, the dialogue idea doesn't work, at least for now, but in politics even the seemingly impossible sometimes happens.

Real events have happened in the 10 days since Suu Kyi's release that give us a better picture of reality.

Nine private journals in Rangoon were banned for publishing big pictures of Suu Kyi and stories than were permitted; 82 HIV/AIDS patients were ordered to leave their current shelter only a few days after Suu Kyi visited the shelter, which is run by members and supporters of the NLD party.

The generals have carefully scrutinized Suu Kyi's every move since her release. They don't want to see informative coverage of her in the media or the crowds who gather to great her and  hear her speak.

To deter them, government departments have taken specific actions. On Nov. 21, a few days after the journals published pictures and stories of Suu Kyi, the Press Scrutiny and Registration Board, a tool of the junta, banned 9 journals temporarily. On Nov. 24, the Health Ministry ordered the eviction of the HIV/AIDS patients under the pretext the shelter was not hygienic, according to state-run newspaper.
 
Suu Kyi herself has yet to become a target of the junta. Apolitical acts like her reunion with her youngest son and their visit to Shwedagon Pagoda are unlikely to draw their wrath.



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COMMENTS (9)
 
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PB Publico Wrote:
05/12/2010
U Moe Aung,
Quite right about the political will. And about the door being locked in and locked out.
But still, we live, work and hope.
Can you see something that is prompting a change in the junta? It is the time factor, not necessarily timing with any occasion per chance.
I wrote somewhere else about the dwindling strength of the military in terms of man power, while new generations are coming out in support of the cause of freedom and democracy. The military is too old and too few at the bottom. Perhaps, too old at the very top.
It may not be in your time or mine as far as the estimate goes. But it could be any time soon too. All it takes is to keep on working hard for our objective.
Don't be too pessimistic if you want to win a war. For we will never fight a losing war.

Moe Aung Wrote:
04/12/2010
PB Publico,

There is such a thing called political will, and it is conspicuous by its absence in the regime for anything but staying in power.

Chance would be a fine thing if you could stick a foot in once the door has opened a tiny crack. It remains heavily barred and bolted as it were.

Venus,

FYO in case you didn't know already, it's not because you alone are too right and speak the truth, it's a matter of getting a word in edgeways and not falling on deaf ears every time.

PB Publico Wrote:
01/12/2010
I quote:
"At this rate, the paths of Suu Kyi and the regime will never cross. Instead, a clash between Suu Kyi and the generals may be unavoidable."
This kind of wisdom is exactly what we should, and can, avoid.
By track record, we all know the regime is intransigent and inviolate, impervious to public opinion.
By track record too, it hasn't won a conclusive war, the winning of peace and political stability throughout the country.
It should, and could, have learned that this type of war cannot be won by bullets and coersion.
It should, and could, initiate efforts to face the problems squarely by means of reconciliation that is also sought by all other parties, in the name of goodwill for all. I mean, the real reconciliation by way of a dialogue, not consolidation of any specific power.
This is the only way to finish these infamous internal wars, the only way for U Than Shwe to win a real victory over the war he has been fighting all his life, and win the hearts of his people.

Myanmar Patriots Wrote:
29/11/2010
Venus, well said!

Mya Kyar Phyu Wrote:
29/11/2010
Her super upbeat yet peaceful strategy is the best we could ever learn from a great humanitarian (if not a nation leader) who has been cut off from the world for a long period of time with nil communication.

If we look back at the history of power transition in Indonesia from ex-general Suharto to the present days, the country(with greater diversities then we are) has been gradually democratized in years with least damage as a result of unity between the military and civilian force.

Like Timothy wrote:What does the public want? For slavery of military masters? Liberty and independence?We just have to remember we are looking for the win-win solutions here.Liberty and independence sound as good to me as unity and achievement.In the end,we do not need to punish anybody in particular.We saw what we reeves or Karma is what it all takes.All we need is to put our heads together (with her) for a better outcome from a rare chance of unity we are having under her name.

Venus Wrote:
26/11/2010
Cautious!! If you are not on the right track;i.e. if you intend to hit your head to the wall, once again you will waste all your life, get back to the house-arrest, that you cannot even walk one step forward. Be strategic! Not every right words will work well in mending our country. Remember the Burmese proverb, if you are too right, you must stay outside the village. (Hman Loon yin ywa pyin yauk)
Take the lesson from Thailand. The country has never fallen into anyone's colony and has been very skillful in slicing brains of foreign experts for the benefit of the country, dispite the split of red and yellow.

George Than Setkyar Heine Wrote:
26/11/2010
“Dialogue must be a win-win situation for both parties,” Suu Kyi said. “I have said to them [the generals] before, but they don't seem to understand it. I am not sure if they don't understand it or if they don't believe it. Perhaps it is because in the military, there no such thing as a negotiated settlement. This is something I really need to give a lot of thought to.”
Not that they don't know, they just don't want to talk about anything in a positive and mutual sense.
Like their motto "get water, don't care about the leak in the container" they will get things done their way and at their leisure.
Come another 200 years Daw Suu would not have the answer in this matter.
Hence in place of giving thought over it Daw Suu should think about ejecting Than Shwe and his thugs out of the picture and make things happen in that direction and perspective as having no choice as well.
We have a saying "Don't play harp to buffaloes".
And don't PUSH your ENVELOPE too far as well lest Daw Suu forgets.

U HLAWIN Wrote:
26/11/2010
The regime’s main objective to release Daw Suu is that the election result must be recognized by the international community. We must aware that our leader is free at junta’s mercy as of right now, and it, the military, is still in control heading toward its way of change called “dictatorship”. Ironically, the junta is collecting and calculating its rewards and adversaries from the international response with regard to her release. In retrospect, her movements at present could lead Daw Suu to be put back in the cage for very long time by the junta citing to protect the peace and stability of the union. International response for that would be very limited. While the Wests are walking a fine line toward the democratization of Burma, the neighbors like China, India and ASEAN in general will chip in on the junta’s side for that. UN’s way of working global issue especially in our case would never be conclusive.
REMEMBER, THAN SHWE IS A VERY CRUEL AND WICKED MAN.

timothy Wrote:
26/11/2010
Yes, The Junta and Aunty Suu are heading into collision course. That is dead sure.
What does the public want? For slavery of military masters? Liberty and independence?
The choice is for the people. Than Shwe can not touch Aunty Suu if the public rise up to the oppression and be united against the common enemy. Seas of Human, waves of human, million of human in the streets all over Burma is answer to the brutal crack down methods of the fascists army. No gun will dare to aim at the mighty army of General Public. The people power is the instrument used by revolutionaries to bring down the dictators, time and time again in history. Aunty Suu said we must make it happen if we want change. Do we really want it?

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