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COMMENTARY
Dark Signs of Things to Come
By KYAW ZWA MOE Saturday, January 16, 2010


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Although most political groups in Burma agree that the regime's political process is too flawed to participate in, there is a small minority who take a different view.

Even in the absence of electoral laws and an election date, a small group of dissidents has decided that the election is the only game in town. A few months ago, veteran politician Thu Wai formed the Democratic Party. However, the party has not yet been registered.

“Anyone expecting to contest the election is not allowed to do anything yet,” he said. His party is supported by the daughter of former Prime Minister U Nu.  

Thu Wai, who was also put in jail in the mid-1990s for his political activities, sees demanding dialogue with the junta as just a waste of time.

“If discussions are possible, it is good. But if they are not possible, why should we be wasting time?” Thu Wai told The Irrawaddy in a recent interview. “Only in a legal parliament can we secure the right to criticize what we don't like and to engage in politics.”

The crucial problem is that the game is never fair, not even to a minimal degree. Players—even those who view the election positively—are never allowed to participate in the whole process. Undemocratic and irregular rules drive them out of the game.

This is supposed to be a year in which great things will happen. Yet we haven't seen any movement in a positive direction. Like it or not, however, this is the country's political process.

Even developments from last year, such as the meetings between US officials and the junta and meetings between Suu Kyi and Than Shwe's liaison officer and Western diplomats, are losing momentum.

The news over the past couple of weeks is an indication of what kind of result we can expect from the election.

The ethnic leader Thar Ban concluded his interview with The Irrawaddy by saying: “We are in the middle of a storm far from shore. The election will be just like lightning: It won't provide enough light to help us find our way.”



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COMMENTS (11)
 
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Moe Aung Wrote:
26/01/2010
Myanmar Patriot 4 UMPF,

'what some 20 men agreed upon is not binding on 50+ million people; understand the logic?'

That's a bit rich coming from a monarchist who wants to impose one man's rule over the same 50+ million, isn't it? Double standards or what? Would His Maj have 20 men on the Privy Council I wonder?

Yes, to you Panglong is as defunct as the 1990 election results. Evidently you don't even realize Panglong remains an important milestone and reference point for the minorities, if not for a chauvinist dinosaur living in cloud cuckoo land like you.

Jean Wrote:
25/01/2010
The Burmese constitution is unfair and should not be accepted because it does not guarantee equal chances for those who wish to participate in the political process. Aung San Suu Kyi may be liberated but is still not eligible to become president or prime minister, because she has been married to a foreigner. So: first modify the constitution, then organise fair elections, with a fair campaign without intimidation.

Myanmar Patriot 4 UMPF Wrote:
25/01/2010
"You dismiss out of hand Panglong and then autonomy for minorities that even a major totalitarian state like China embraced and made work."
Moe Aung, 1. We do not dismiss Panglong out of hand; we don't need to because what some 20 men agreed upon is not binding on 50+ million people; understand the logic? We have analysed thoroughly.
2. AungSan was duped by Attlee, exactly twice his age. We revere AungSan; he acted in good faith, not foreseeing the consequences.
3."The game is up." We don't play games; we are for the good of Burma, for evolution. We are not a political party. You accused Kyaw of promoting the SPDC cause in a "civilised" way. Who are you to judge what is civilised? We have no qualms about calling a spade a spade. Panglong is defunct! That's it.

Moe Aung Wrote:
22/01/2010
Myanmar Patriot 4 UMPF,

The game is up. You sing from the same hymn sheet as the rest of the junta apologists. You go one step farther by championing the current lot's lame attempt at distancing themselves from Ne Win, like disowning their Big Godfather.

You are jousting at windmills trying to divert attention from the main problem of SPDC misrule to the old colonial enemy. You reinforce the cliche:'Patriotism is the last refuge of scoundrels'.

You slander ASSK and promote appeasement in the name of dialogue.

You dismiss out of hand Panglong and then autonomy for minorities that even a major totalitarian state like China embraced and made work.

Kyaw promotes the SPDC cause in a smarter more civilized way without appearing pigheaded SHOUTING people down in a slanging match. Learn.

Kyaw,

We are where we are because of our own individual history, with a hogtied opposition, a rigged constitution, armed ceasefire groups in semi-autonomous regions, and the promise of a sham election.

Garrett Wrote:
22/01/2010
MP4F UMPF,

Your denial of the death & enslavement of millions of ethnic minority Burmese citizens,
conveniently takes advantage of the policies of the successive military regimes which deny INGO's the ability to gather accurate statistics in the ethnic homelands.

The same regime policies have hobbled the INGO's to the point where they have all but given up on attempting to provide aid & basic health care to millions of ethnic minority Burmese citizens behind the bamboo curtain.

These are the Burmese citizens whom you and others like you have written off as being too inconvenient to bother with.

Your delusional agenda is as pathetic as the apathy of the majority of the Burmese people who have allowed their fathers, sons, & brothers to continue being tools in the hands of the oppressive & vengeful SPDC murderers, while their families live in national poverty.

And yes, I have little doubt that the SPDC considers me an enemy of the state for speaking out on their atrocities.

Myanmar Patriot 4 UMPF Wrote:
20/01/2010
Garret, How dare you say "If breaking up Burma is the only way to end the war of revenge and exploitation waged against the ethnic minorities by the regime, so be it!"

DON'T EXAGGERATE: "deaths and enslavement of millions of ethnic minority men, women, and children." How many millions? Figures never run into millions! Hundreds of thousands, yes. We do not condone the atrocities; we only explain!

IN ANY CASE WHAT BUSINESS IS YOURS TO PROMOTE BREAKING-UP OF BURMA? By doing that you are an enemy of Burma. We have to contend with two giant neighour with voracious appetites for our natural resources. Because of alien meddlers like you supporting Suu Kyi, we have to wait so long for democracy.

AND DON'T FORGET Clement Attlee duped AungSan.

It is UNBELIEVABLE what you said about Burma to break-up. IF YOU HAVE GENUINE GOODWILL TO BURMA, YOU SHOULD PROMOTE DIALOGUE. Shame on you!

Myanmar Patriot 4 UMPF Wrote:
20/01/2010
Garret, We are not stupid!

"You must have been asleep for the past half-century!

Todays states are the legacy of post-colonial divide and rule by the successive military regimes which have resulted in the tragic deaths and enslavement of millions of ethnic minority men, women, and children."

WE ARE VERY AWAKE and know English history inside out whereas you have no respect for OUR Burmese history. ALMOST all ex-colonies ended up with military regimes - part of evolution process; WHY? Because colonisers never gave them a proper education; our beloved Bogyoke AungSan gave back his BA degree as only useful to serve colonisers as a slave. FACT!

You are still the playing divide-and-rule game. Remember Bamars had suffered a great deal more under ShuMaung's BSPP regime 62 to 88. For territorial integrity, SPDC campaigns for total sovereignty. DON'T INSULT US. WE KNOW WHAT WE ARE DOING. Mind your own business!

Garrett Wrote:
19/01/2010
Quote MP4 UMPF "We stand for equality of individuals. Todays' states are only legacy of colonial divide-and-rule. They should not even be called 'states';they should be called 'counties'. Asking for autonomy is demanding an internal empire, with a view to breaking up Burma. Never!"

You must have been asleep for the past half-century!
Todays states are the legacy of post-colonial divide and rule by the successive military regimes which have resulted in the tragic deaths and enslavement of millions of ethnic minority men, women, and children.

If breaking up Burma is the only way to end the war of revenge and exploitation waged against the ethnic minorities by the regime, so be it!
To be in favor of preserving the union despite the continued mistreatment and persecution of millions of ethnic minority citizens of Burma who are denied even the most basic human rights, is to advocate
their ongoing sacrifice in order to preserve one of the most evil and corrupt empires of our time.

Myanmar Patriot 4 UMPF Wrote:
17/01/2010
"Leaders from a coalition of 12 ethnic parties based inside Burma have stood together with Thar Ban. The ethnic coalition, known as the United Nationalities Alliance, won 67 seats in the 1990 election. What they complain about mainly is the lack of equality and autonomy for ethnic people in the 2008 Constitution."

EQUALITY, what equality? Who elected these people? These unelected people demanding equality is utter nonsense; all they are doing is obeying the dictate of ex-colonisers, in the guise of the Panglong Agreement, which is defunct.

We stand for equality of individuals. Todays' states are only legacy of colonial divide-and-rule. They should not even be called 'states';they should be called 'counties'. Asking for autonomy is demanding an internal empire, with a view to breaking up Burma. Never! We are one people, one nation, one state, sandwiched between tow giant neighbours. Anyone who promotes autonomy is a disintegrationist and as such a 'traitor.'

Kyaw Wrote:
17/01/2010
Burma is still politically much much better than Vietnam, Laos, China and North Korea where the population has no rays of hope for democracy, no talks on forming political parties and free elections and living under absolute power of one communist party, and even better than Thailand where the only one who got support from the palace can become the Government regardless of the popularity or the choice of majority.

Remember, Burma has political parties, Autonomous minority regions, talking and planning for multi-party Government and elections; hopefully it has the destination of democratic society with some military domination in the beginning which is necessary in a transition to guide and nurture the young democracy.

All should accept the constitution and the system are man-made and there are spaces to modify and improve it over time.


timothy Wrote:
16/01/2010
Oh yes. The military-ruled newly appointed government will be recognised by United Nations. The seat for Burma's representative at UN General Assembly is guaranteed.

Than Shwe said " who cares? I would do whatever I like." Ban Ki Moon is so stupid to ask for free and fair whatever.

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bullet With Suu Kyi On Board, Is Burma Finally Moving Toward Real Change?

bullet The ‘Rule of Law’ in Burma

bullet New Doors are Opening in Burma

bullet A Good Beginning to the New Year






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