So how can anyone say for certain that they would not reverse course and clamp down on the media, the opposition political parties and the ethnic minorities if any of them became overly bold in their activities and presented a real challenge to the ruling clique’s authority and economic interests?
During the recent visit to Burma by US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Suu Kyi said, “There have been times that Naypyidaw has weakened, but I don’t think it has ever really broken.”
What this means is that although the leaders of the new government have agreed to relax their iron grip on Burmese society in order to obtain certain benefits, they have still not reformed from within their own ranks and taken the big risks that put political power back in the hands of the Burmese people.
After her meeting with Clinton in Rangoon, Suu Kyi said that, “If we move forward together, I am confident there will be no turning back on the road to democracy.”
But for Suu Kyi’s opposition members, the ethnic minority groups and the rest of the Burmese people to “move forward together” with Thein Sein and the other leaders of the new government, the latter must change their past mindset to acknowledge that those on the outside of power are their equals and are not just along for the ride.
Until that happens, nobody can predict with certainty that the momentum towards reform is irreversible. Recognizing this is not an attempt to undercut the reform process or a refusal to acknowledge the significance of the reforms that have been made thus far. To the contrary, it is necessary to ensure that the movement towards meaningful change in Burma continues.
Just as we need to applaud what has changed, we need to understand what has not, and the most important thing which has not yet changed is the mindset of Burma’s ruling leaders. The reason this is placed at the top of the “to do list” is because once the paradigm of power held by the ruling hierarchy changes, then all of the other reforms that the Burmese people seek and deserve will follow.
However, until Thein Sein and the other government leaders clearly demonstrate an understanding that the human rights violations of the past and present are wrong and destructive to the interests of Burma, then all of the reforms must be seen as fragile and in risk of being reversed.