The Man Who Foresees Storms
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The Man Who Foresees Storms


By THE IRRAWADDY Monday, March 28, 2011


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I have tried my best to update the weather forecasts in time, but if there is no Internet access then I can't do anything.

Q: Climate change in Burma has become worse lately. What do you think should be done?

A: It is not quite so easy—the whole world's climate has changed for the worse. But that doesn't mean that we have to give up. What we can do is prioritize reforestation.

A study has been made with regard to global climate change. It has shown that agriculture, industry, deforestation, population growth and a few other factors are the main effect on the global climate.

After examining the impact of these different sectors on climate change, the latest study shows that climate change within a country is mainly related to its GDP.

Q: People have alleged that, in the past, smugglers and those involved in illegal shipping paid off staff at the DMH in order to get them to release false reports about potential storms at sea, thereby deterring government patrol boats from going out and clearing the way for smugglers to land. Can you comment?

A: This is not true at all. There was no such case. There is no way the DMH could act like that. It was all just speculation by people who are unaware of DMH procedures. At that time, the weather forecasts were issued by the DMH headquarters in Rangoon. No individual person could release an independent news report.

Q: How do you feel when you think of Cyclone Nargis?

A: I have many suppressed feelings connected with Cyclone Nargis, because we knew about five days in advance that it would strike the country.

I don't want to blame anyone in particular, but we have paid a high price for not having the experience to deal of this kind of natural disaster. We underestimated it.

The only thing I have in my head now is never to let anything like that happen again. To do this, we have to add, fix and improve our system wherever possible. Taking our lesson from Nargis, we need to be fully prepared.    



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COMMENTS (3)
 
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sm123 Wrote:
31/03/2011
One of my friends told me 10years ago that he is the best expert in Meteorology inside Myanmar.I think not only that friend but also a lot Myanmar people respect him because he is still helping the people now though he retired.

Zaw Min Wrote:
29/03/2011
Thank you U Tun Lwin. I don't think he may be able to access Irrawaddy website and thus would not be able to see my comment. But I just want to encourage each of our countrymen and countrywomen to do what they can for the country just as U Tun Lwin is doing now. He may not change the government or the system but he is helping our people with his expertise. Thanks again and invite all experts to provide their expertise for our people.

yebaw Wrote:
29/03/2011
How far can he foresee a tropical storm is coming and striking a particular place, coast? within 10 days, one month or 3 days?
If Dr Lwin says that he can foresee it in one month ahead, it is not a scientific weather forecasting but a fortune telling, "baydinhall" I do not not have much knowledge in weather forecasting but a know that it requires to have scientific information such as atmospheric pressure, temperature, wine direction and its speed etc. Base on these meteorological information and use what he has learned from Florida State University, knowledge in tropical weather forecasting can get a prediction. Now he said he use internet to make forecast. Does it mean that he uses the weather forecasting from NOAA or JMS and said that this is his own forecasting? If he can do like this, we do not need the DMH, department of Meteorology and Hydrology and noe need to spend millions on budget or US $ 7 million for a weather radar.

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