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COMMENTARY
Suu Kyi's Long Road to Naypyidaw
By AUNG ZAW Monday, August 22, 2011


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She was also treated with regal respect when regional commanders and officials welcomed her and her party leaders to a tour of dam- and road- building projects.

Even her fiercest opponent, Than Shwe, and his top brass conceded to dine with the Suu Kyi and her team at that time.

But then it all went pear-shaped. Suu Kyi's political tours drew hundreds of thousands of supporters wherever she went. The euphoria and adulation for the Nobel Peace Prize laureate convinced the military junta that she must be stopped by hook or by crook. She spent the next seven years under house arrest.

This time round, pundits say, the new civilian offshoot of the previous regime is eager to demonstrate that they don’t belong to the past and that they are different, changed, evolved.

Optimists opine that in spite of the ongoing power struggle within the government, Thein Sein, who served under Than Shwe for many years, is more reform-minded, will more likely tolerate opposition, and could find it expedient to make a deal with Suu Kyi.

For the first time in a generation, the reformers within the government may have the upper hand.

Be that as it may, critics are quite correct to point out that the government is eager to present a cleaner image ahead of the decision by the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) on whether to allow Burma to chair the regional bloc in 2014.

They say the olive branch offered to Suu Kyi and the opposition, as well as an invitation to Burmese exiles to return home, are hollow gestures aimed as gaining international credibility.

During her talks with the liaison minister, Suu Kyi reportedly aired widespread concerns about the conflicts in Kachin, Shan and Karen states. Whatever assurances she received, skeptics caution that the previous regime’s divide-and-rule strategy between ethnic and democratic forces will come back into play—that the regime will want to exclude the ethnic groups from the dialogue.

In anticipation of this policy, Burma's democratic forces and ethnic nationalities must play ball to ensure that national reconciliation takes on a more harmonious quality.

In addition to insisting that ethnic armed groups be included in political dialogue, we must maintain our guarded optimism, and keep requesting the government to free all political prisoners. Without a successful resolution of these issues, Burma will never achieve peace and stability.

Most argue, though, that whatever deep skepticism exists, it is now time to move in a direction that will make the government and president of Burma accountable.

Of course, everyone wants to see actions, not just words. To gauge whether the government is prepared to take those meaningful steps, we will require Suu Kyi to drive that long lonely highway to Naypyidaw several more times.

Related articles : Suu Kyi 'Satisfied' with Thein Sein Talks

                         Cautious Optimism and Continued Vigilance



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COMMENTS (7)
 
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Garrett Wrote:
30/08/2011
I think the regime pundits are doing a great job of moving throughout the various forums posing as democracy advocates spouting pipe-dream visions of approaching democracy through peaceful means, peaceloving Burmese people, blah blah blah. Meanwhile the same Burma army shock-troops are raping ethnic minority women, burning villages & crops, & making sure there is no peace in the ethnic homelands. The regime continues building dams which will adversely effect not only ethnic minority farmers, but farmers throughout the land. Land is still confiscated for pipelines & railways which keep the stolen resources flowing out of the country, & agro-projects which usually replace ricefields with non-edible cash crops.

If I am punching someone in the face and I want to become peaceful, the first thing I need to do is to stop being violent.

Moe Aung Wrote:
24/08/2011
Like the author rightly pointed out we've been there before. The sense of déjà vu is overwhelming (remember Khin Nyunt, 'moderate' and 'power sharing'?, and many of us will agree with Roland Watson that the puppet master is pulling the strings from behind the scenes.

How far ASSK will get drawn into their game we shall wait and see. What kind of quid pro quo they expect of each other. The generals don't expect to lose and they are always one step ahead of the game since they plan and plot, plan B and the lot. Has the Lady any plan B? Will she end up wasting time in futile maneuvers and just get older yet again?

myo nyunt Wrote:
24/08/2011
Dear Ko Aung Zaw

There is hope to all freedom and peace loving Burmese that a common ground for the Myanmar State and the defacto opposition led by Daw Aung San Su Kyi is in process. The majority of the population in Burma at the present juncture of history and socio- cultural evolution are mindful that only through a negotiated political solution amongst themselves ,national progress and prosperity will be truly of their own making, and not by determination by others. Myanmar is still in the making. The present transparent interactive communication between NLD General Secretary Daw Aung San Su Kyi and the President of Myanmar U Thein Sein I believe is based on trust and reciprocal mutual respect, and a plus for the majority of the Burmese people.
Democracy is us, the Burmese people. We will get there by our through peaceful means and deliberation and accepting and respecting the other as our equal.

George Than Setkyar Heine Wrote:
24/08/2011
For the first time in a generation, the reformers within the government may have the upper hand.

I certainly DON'T BUY this crap mate!

Tin Aung Myint Oo, Min Aung Hlaing, Shwe Mann even are not in the picture lest you forget!

They gave Daw Suu the VVIP treatment, allowed Quintana another tour while inviting us back to Burma for ONE OBVIOUS REASON only.

No need to name it as well I guess.

What happened now and would in the near future as well would SERVE NONE for that matter - RELEASE of Min Ko Naing and his colleagues, U Khun Htun Oo, Su Su Nway and other 2000 political prisoners, withdrawal of USDP forces out of ethnic lands and hold a meaningful dialogue for democratic reforms in the country.

Until and unless it is done Daw Suu NEED NOT TAKE even a STEP toward that hell hole I say.

Kyaikkasan Wrote:
24/08/2011
No idea how many times Daw Su had been offered dinner in the past. But we do know after the show the Regime reaped bumper harvest of credits while Opposition was left as it is. Now, TSein repeated the same technique. How long does Opposition can be stranded with this kind of show as there are generals ready to repeat.

DS may not wish to stop as credit-contributor this time. Presumably, she might raise mainly (1) release of P-Prisoners, (2) modify of constitution, (3) national reconciliation, and (4) legal winner of 90 Election.

At least, assumption (2) listed above hit the nerve of army-backed gov. TS countered it even without consider, by saying he had tried to convince those who did not agree with it. Meaning, they won’t change the 25% and others by which they survive.

Similarly, they are drafting for killing other proposals, because they don’t want to share the power. TS gov hold identical policy as SPDC, What is the Plan B of NLD? How confidence it to be applied.

Myint Thein, Dallas Wrote:
24/08/2011
After 23 years, we don't need more dialogue. We need a deal. And if we don't secure a negotiated political settlement within the next six months, we will lobby the US Government to provide weapons to the Ethnic Resistance Armies in Burma. Talk is cheap, watch what we do.

Roland Watson Wrote:
23/08/2011
Ko Aung Zaw,

You are wrong about this. There is no real progress. There is no convincing reason to feel optimistic or upbeat. Indeed, to call anyone who does not swallow the lies that come from Naypyidaw a "cynic" is pejorative. If you want to believe in fairy tales, that's fine, but please do not criticize those who refuse to fall into the trap. What is happening now with the regime is carefully orchestrated political theatre. Thein Sein and Aung Gyi are puppets, nothing more. Thein Sein was chosen for the part of PM and then President because he is so weak and placid, to give a soft face to the world. But Than Shwe will throw him and Aung Gyi in prison without hesitation the moment they cease to be useful. Just recall the fate of the SPDC's Foreign Minister Win Aung.

Roland Watson

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bullet With Suu Kyi On Board, Is Burma Finally Moving Toward Real Change?

bullet The ‘Rule of Law’ in Burma

bullet New Doors are Opening in Burma

bullet A Good Beginning to the New Year






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