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Burmese Economist Urges Greater Rice Exports
By YENI Monday, January 11, 2010


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While Burma continues to count the cost of the 2008 Cyclone Nargis disaster and international aid agencies struggle to help hundreds of thousands of desperate farmers, a leading Burmese economist has called for  the restoration of the country as “major rice exporter” in order to stave off poverty.

At a Rangoon press conference at the weekend, U Myint, a retired UN official and a director in the board of directors of Tun Foundation Bank, said: “Higher productivity, output, incomes and employment in the rice farming sector will contribute to alleviating rural poverty and enhance greater food security at home.”

Burmese farmers plant rice near Naypyidaw. (Photo: AP)

In order to increase rice exports, however, there had to be a rise in the exportable surplus of rice, U Myint cautioned. “Exportable surplus consists of current production, plus available stocks, minus projected domestic consumption,” he explained.

U Myint was speaking weeks after Nobel Laureate economist Joseph Stiglitz gave an address in Naypyidaw urging the regime to invest income from gas and oil sales in the country's agricultural sector.

During his visit, Stiglitz urged Burmese regime to promote access to agricultural financing, as well as to seeds and fertilizers, dramatically increase spending on health and education and create well-paid jobs in rural infrastructure in order to stimulate development and raise incomes and spending.

U Myint, a frequent speaker at government-level gatherings, said revitalization of Burma's rice economy and exports was an area holding high promise for cooperation between the junta, academics, the business community, civil society organizations and development partners.

“Veteran rice dealers in the country with vast knowledge and experience in the industry will survive and thrive in the competitive environment,” he said. “Others, who know little about the rice business, but who are making huge profits based on connections, cozy deals and special favors will not survive and will go out of business.”

At the height of its position as the world's leading rice exporter, in the fiscal year 1938-39, Burma exported 3.3 million tons of rice, earning 46.7 percent of the country's total export receipts. Seventy years later, in the fiscal year 2007-08, Burma's rice exports were a meager 358,500 tons of rice—just 1.2  percent of total world exports, U Myint said.

If this percentage were calculated on value instead of volume, he added,
“Myanmar’s [Burma's] share would even fall further, as Myanmar [Burma] exports mostly low quality rice that fetches a price per ton far below that of its neighbors.”

U Myint said rice production could be boosted “through increased and proper use of modern inputs such as fertilizers, pesticides, proper water control, improved seeds, and farm mechanization.

“Moreover, there is a wide range of issues related to better pricing, distribution, storage, marketing, grading, processing, taxation and organization and management of agricultural production so that farmers' incentives are not adversely affected, they get a fair reward for their efforts, and middlemen and others do not take unfair advantage of them.”

Another key issue highlighted by U Myint, and one that has received major attention, is agricultural credit. Cyclone Nargis and the destruction it  wrought on infrastructure, natural and man-made capital, dwellings and livelihoods had dramatized the need for credit, he said.

“But the credit crunch is a countrywide problem, although its impact varies from region to region, from township to township, and even within a township,” he added.



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George Than Setkyar Heine Wrote:
12/01/2010
Looks like U Myint is looking for himself a cell in a remote prison in Burma saying,"Others, who know little about the rice business, but who are making huge profits based on connections, cozy deals and special favors will not survive and will go out of business.”

Talking in length and depth about AGRICULTURAL CREDIT could certainly ensure U Myint a cell at Insein for a starter.
Though he is talking straight and true in this respect he has every prospect of earning Than Shwe's or his cronies' wrath sooner rather than later.

CRONY ECONOMY is Than Shwe's brain child since day one.

Failing to take note of this would doom not only U Myint but also anyone as it is Than Shwe's policy to MONOPOLIZE the country's ECONOMY and WEALTH via his cronies and POLITICIZE the MILITARY at the same time.
Of course Than Shwe knows better than U Myint in this case.

Hence, any talk about improving Burma's lot is ANATHEMA for Than Shwe obsessed with greed and power holding Burma hostage at gun point today.

James O'Brien Wrote:
11/01/2010
It's not that simple.

The real reason is that the government depots buy the rice at a low price, monopolize the rice trade, sell at a profit and use the gains on crazy projects like Naypyidaw. The government makes crazy decisions not to sell rice some years (because afraid of famine - let it rot on docks) and fixes the exchange rate.

Thailand and Vietnam, because of economic reforms, are now the 2 major rice exporters in the world. Poor quality Burmese rice will have a hard time pushing into this market.

Moreover, Burmese farmers don't own their land, and are losing it at an alarming rate. Guess who's taking the land? The generals! Or their wives.

Despite his training and background, Dr. Myint is a naive person who thinks "simple fixes" like this can fix the problem.

Sorry, but it ain't so. Only major reforms or a system change will do the trick.

I'm also an economist with a Western doctorate and a great deal of international experience.

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