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COMMENTARY
'Wait and See' US Policy on Burma is No Help
By YENI Wednesday, September 9, 2009


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In 1988, when nation-wide demonstrations calling for political, economic and social changes broke out in authoritarian-ruled Burma, many students and pro-democracy activists gathered in front of the US embassy in Rangoon.

The demonstrations were not anti-American in nature or directed against so-called imperialism. Instead, the demonstrators affirmed their support for democracy and the establishment of all it stood for—particularly respect for human rights. They directed their appeals to the country they regarded as the world’s leading defender of democracy.

The brutal suppression of those demonstrators was followed by an unrelenting series of further human rights abuses, which has led successive US administrations, supported by both Congress and Senate, to intensify the sanctions that were first levied against Burma in 1997 by former President Bill Clinton—although Burma's neighboring countries have favored doing business as usual with the Burmese regime.

Under the administration of former President George W Bush, the US also took the lead in pressing for Burma to be brought before the UN Security Council, which is widely regarded as the world's only actor with the legal authority, political competency and international legitimacy for carrying out effective humanitarian intervention.

However, the current US administration under President Barack Obama, who favors engagement over confrontation with partners—and even with world tyrants—has embarked on a continuing review of Burma policy.

The US foreign policy chief, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, said earlier this year that neither sanctions nor attempts by Burma’s neighbors in Southeast Asia to engage the regime had worked, although some observers said that US had never applied the policy fully.

State Department officials said that the trial of Burma's democracy icon Aung San Suu Kyi will affect the policy review. Secretary of State Clinton appealed for the release of imprisoned Suu Kyi in exchange for new US investment in Burma, a practice ended by her husband President Bill Clinton in 1997.

However, Burma's ruling generals extended Suu Kyi’s house arrest for a further 18 months, while continuing to hold around 2,100 other political activists behind bars. They are also trying to tame restive ethnic armies along Burma’s borders with China and Thailand, forcing thousands of civilians to flee to those neighboring countries.

In August, Assistant Secretary of State for Public Affairs P J Crowley said at a State Department news conference: “One of the dimensions is their continued detention of Aung San Suu Kyi, and 2,100 other political prisoners.  Our second dimension is the ethnic conflict that continues in Burma and what we could do to try to encourage a broader dialogue within Burma."

He also said, "We have an interest in seeing Burma stabilize. We have an interest in seeing Burma end its isolation.  How we do that is a subject of review."

A better policy would be to reach out to China, India and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations to identify points of possible commonality in their respective approaches to Burma. A truly multilateral strategy on Burma would be a significant improvement over America’s current policy.

But as for a more comprehensive assessment of forward-looking US policy, it remains a waiting game. Now Washington seems to be adopting a "wait and see" attitude in the run-up to next year’s general election, which will be used by the Burmese regime as a playing card in its end-game of consolidating its position of power.

The US administration must again display strong leadership in its Burma policy. Where Washington leads by example, other global and regional friends will follow. A “wait and see” approach is no inspiration for Burma’s neighbors and is no help to the Burmese people.



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Anonymous Wrote:
18/09/2009
Wait and see... The U.S policy on Burma won't change, because the Junta won't change its behavior despite sanctions from the West. If the U.S starts engaging the Junta like Asean, it will be betraying the democracy activists of the counrty. But, it won't take military action either for various reasons. Myanmar's fate is up to Than Shwe and Maung Aye, and it is not looking good for its people.

Garrett Wrote:
17/09/2009
Dear George Than Setkyar Heine,

God gives all men the choice of being good or evil. He also gives them the choice of being courageous or passive.
While the cost of each man's courage may be his own death, the cost of each man's cowardice may be the deaths and oppression of thousands of others, as we have seen occur in Burma decade after decade.

The only missing ingredient for the downfall of the military junta is courageous and prolonged mass protests by the citizens of Burma.
Their prolonged actions towards freedom will bring prolonged actions by the US,EU,UN and ASEAN.
The result of the prolonged inaction of the citizens of Burma is to send the message that they are NOT interested in "struggling out of the military yoke straddling their necks."

You are right about Than Shwe's crown, which will likely be prominent in his statues which we will probably soon see replacing Buddha in pagodas nationwide.

George Than Setkyar Heine Wrote:
11/09/2009
Wait and see for what?
No need to follow the footprints when the prey itself is in sight already.
Once Than Shwe gets away with his farcical 2010 elections he will be wearing the crown encrusted with his jewel - a military dominated constitution - enshrining a military role in the politics of Burma and ensuring military rule in the country until eternity.
In that event, not the US, EU or UN but also even Jesus' father in heaven could help the people of Burma struggle out of the military yoke straddling their necks since more than four decades ago until today.
Time is a factor which the people of Burma can ill afford today.
Likewise Than Shwe's days are also numbered. He has to move now or never as things are getting too hot for him to handle, not to mention death itself knocking at his door as he is riddled with ailments and advanced age.
The US should strike while the iron is hot and now also, while China is in a quandary over its proxies getting bashed up on the Sino-Burmese borders.

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