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COMMENTARY
The Neighborhood Bully
By KYAW ZWA MOE Friday, June 12, 2009


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One of the favorite tactics of the Burmese junta is its “bully” policy. The latest attacks against the army of the Karen National Union (KNU) on the Thailand-Burma border are proof.

The troops of the military regime and its ceasefire group, the Democratic Karen Buddhist Army, have launched sustained clashes since early June. In two weeks, the conflict has forced at least 4,000 Karen refugees to flee their villages and many are arriving in refugee camps on the Thai-Burmese border.

The current rainy season is an unusual time for the regime to launch its military campaign, with about 9,000 soldiers in the area.

This military campaign is linked by three factors: Aung San Suu Kyi, Thailand and the KNU rebels.

A few days after Suu Kyi was charged with breaching the terms of her house arrest, Thailand, as the current chair of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean), took an unusual step by denouncing the junta’s trial of Suu Kyi and calling for her immediate release. 

The generals were furious and responded by attacking the Thai government in state-run newspapers, which said the announcement by Thailand interfered in the internal affairs of an Asean member country and disregarded the principle of non-interference in the Asean charter. 

Since then, the two governments have exchanged verbal volleys, and the junta continues to publish critical articles on Thailand’s stance. 
 
One of the consequences of Burma’s offensive against the KNU is that many Karen villagers strike out for one of the Karen refugee camps on the border, where hundreds of thousand of Karen refugees now live in nine camps. 

Thailand now faces a fresh flow of Karen refugees. On Monday, the Thai army commander, Lt-Gen Thanongsak Aphirakyothin, whose unit operates along Thailand’s western border, said that a total of 1,741 Karen have entered Thailand from eastern Burma since the fighting started. Many are believed still to be in hiding in the jungle in Burma.

“They fled because of the danger and fear of capture and forced labor by the Myanmar [Burma] army, the commander told reporters in Mae Sot. “Most of the refugees are women and children.”

David Takarpaw, vice chairman of the KNU, said on Friday, “The attack is continuous,” meaning Thailand can expect more refugees in the coming months.

Thailand, which has caused political problems for the regime, now has a problem of its own caused by Burma.

Isn’t it an act of bullying?

However, an article published on Thursday in the junta’s newspaper, New Light of Myanmar, sees it differently.

“Thailand is self-conscious about the issues on internally displaced persons (IDP) and refugees which have rooted [sic] in the Thai-Myanmar border for ages,” the newspaper said. “The root cause of issues on IDP and refugees in the Thai-Myanmar border is that they (Thailand) accept and let the problems keep on taking place.”

The article continued: “The remnant KNU troops have showed no sign of making peace with the government. Apparently, that is due to the fact that the remnant KNU members are aided and abetted, and KNU stations under the name of refugee camps are accepted.”

The article accused Thailand of offering its soil to insurgent groups and anti-government political groups.
 
The generals in Naypyidaw have faced mounting international, regional and internal problems since they took power in 1988. But after Suu Kyi’s trial last month, the problems intensified even more.  

Whenever the generals face problems, they use their ‘bully’ policy, among others. They are now bullying Suu Kyi, Thailand and the KNU.

The more pressure the generals face in the future, the more you’ll see their bully policy at work.



COMMENTS (4)
 
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Moe Aung Wrote:
16/06/2009
The junta could well be heading for a nasty shock, if not a heavy fall in throwing its weight around with seemingly reckless abandon along the Thai border.

Sonthi appears to be playing it for an arrogant fool by feigning fear of defeat if the Thais have to take on the Burmese yet again.The US just might be handed an ironclad justification to unleash 'Cobra Gold' on a platter.

The Burmese generals would then find out what fighting 'sword against sword and spear against spear' meant in the reality of a level playing field. Perhaps they think the US has its hands too full on two fronts in Iraq and Afghanistan to open a third one in SE Asia.

Does the junta have a military pact with China? If so,would China enter the fray against its major trading partner and risk World War III on its doorstep?

Will our generals walk into a trap like when Iraq went into Kuwait?Are we likely to witness Burma's own 'Brest-Litovsk, 1917' or 'Gulf War I' if not a counter-invasion as in 'Gulf War II'?

They'll be sorry.

George Than Setkyar Heine Wrote:
14/06/2009
The main reason behind the offensives on the KNU at the moment is to pressure the Karen armed group to go into ceasefire with the Burmese military.
The KNU is the largest and longest standing armed ethnic group still fighting against the armed forces of Burma since 1949.
The late General Saw Bo Mya promised his people that the KNU would not go into ceasefire with the Burmese military without a political settlement at Manerplaw during discussions on federal constitution of Burma held on October 11-21, 1994.
Today's KNU leaders are upholding their late leader's principle and promise.
In this view, David Takapaw and his people are smart, principled and more pragmatic than other dim witted ethnic leaders who went into ceasefires with the military regime.
The UWSA and other armed groups like the Kokang and Kachin are being pressured to surrender their arms and serve under the Burmese military as border guards today.
Hence, Than Shwe cannot bully Karen as long as David Takapaw is holding the helm of the KNU I say.

timothy Wrote:
13/06/2009
The junta deserve punishment physically for these bullying childish manners. The US-backed Thai army should consider punishing the junta. Burmese troops have never had to face a professional army. The US, EU, Asean5 ( Thai, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and Philippine) should head together to punish the misbehaviour of the Burmese Junta to protect the defenceless 40 millions across the border. As soon as Thai troops cross the border, Burmese people will join the great revolution and beat the Junta. I imagine lines of body bags of junta generals on the street. Thailand has got the mandate to help defenceless people across the border. I know the anger of 40 million Burmese.

Jeg Wrote:
13/06/2009
The SPDC, the master of deceit, underestimated the mob to come up with such twisted reasoning of the facts to cover up their criminal cowardice. The junta owns the problem but their boots are too heavy to allow them to accept responsibility for their "errors of crime." It is never their mistake, always someone else's. These are the rulers of Burma.

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