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COMMENTARY
Garbled words; Naive Expectations
By KYAW ZWA MOE Wednesday, August 19, 2009


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It was an upbeat story after a string of depressing events—a little like a caged bird being set free. A momentary sense of freedom, of compassion.
  
Everyone can share in the good fortune of John Yettaw’s release after he was sentenced to seven years hard labor for intruding into the lakeside home of pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi in May. 
 
Yettaw, a wayward, misguided US citizen, set off an unfortunate chain of events leading to a further 18-month sentence under house arrest for Suu Kyi.

Amid the hoopla of Yettaw’s release, many Burma observers, policy makers and foreign media have praised US Sen Jim Webb, who managed to meet Snr-Gen Than Shwe and Suu Kyi during his Burma mission, praising his visit as a “success”—a potential game-changing moment in US-junta relations.

Not so. For the record, let me summarize the pertinent facts: Suu Kyi’s detention was due to expire on May 27: the junta was searching for an excuse to extend her detention beyond the 2010 election. Eccentric Yettaw, who believed he was “sent” by God to save her from assassination, was arrested on May 3. As a main defendant, he was sentenced along with Suu Kyi, who received a three-year sentence on Aug 11.

Yettaw was released on Aug 16. To see Yettaw walk out of prison wasn’t a surprise, but it reeked in bitter irony.

Webb was Yettaw’s savior; Yettaw was the junta’s savior. In twisted logic, the junta might even have seen his release as a reward for being the “God-sent,” unwitting tool of Snr-Gen Than Shwe’s devious plotting.
 
Behind this deeply dramatic story, however, there are two specific moments that we must not forget.

Before May 3, Suu Kyi was scheduled to be released; after Aug 11, she is under a new period of house arrest until 2011.

That is the real story.

So, how much importance should we give to the recent clamor about a potential “breakthrough” moment in US-Burma relations?

The US and Western countries could lift sanctions on the regime, open up economic engagement, lift visa bans on the generals, and so on, but the wise observer should not expect anything in return: no release of Suu Kyi and the 2,100 political prisoners, no full participation of opposition parties in the election, no free and fair election.

Any quid pro quo offer is not in the cards with the junta. It’s never “give-and-take” with the generals; it’s always “give-and-give.” If you don’t believe it, look at the generals’ history.

Already, they are reveling in their good fortune. On Tuesday, the junta’s state-run newspapers called Webb’s visit a “success.” An opinion piece in The New Light of Myanmar said: “The visit of Mr Jim Webb is a success for both sides as well as the first step to promotion of the relations between the two countries.” It is interesting to see that the junta and Webb on are the same page in their views of the events.

More interestingly, Webb told reporters in Bangkok on Sunday: “I don’t want to misrepresent her [Suu Kyi] views, but my clear impression is that she is not opposed to the lifting of some sanctions,”

But the next day that interpretation began to unravel. What Suu Kyi said to Webb was that “interaction” between the junta and the domestic opposition must occur before sanctions are lifted. The senator may have believed that the “interaction” referred to the junta and the international community’s sanctions, according to Nyan Win, a spokesperson of her party, the National League for Democracy, who met with Suu Kyi on Monday.    

“She told me that when she met with Sen Webb she reiterated the need for the Burmese regime to first interact ‘inside the country.’ She said only when that happens ‘will Burma benefit from relations with the international community,’” Nyan Win told The Irrawaddy.

He said the Nobel Peace Prize laureate who is regarded as a strong supporter of economic sanctions, also told Webb: “She was not the one who imposed sanctions against the Burmese regime. She is not in a position to lift those sanctions.”

Understandably, the international community is anxious to know exactly what Suu Kyi said.



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COMMENTS (6)
 
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Moe Aung Wrote:
29/08/2009
pLan B,

'DASSK's intransigence..whining about tighter restriction on DASSK'

Indulging in a bit of transference, are we? So it's ASSK who is guilty of intransigence, not your ever flexible generals, and it's whining when it comes to complaining about their actions because it's 'SOS (same old stuff)'. Nail your colors on the mast, why don't you?

pLan B Wrote:
27/08/2009
Ko Kyaw Zwa Moe should read Webb's interview in its entirety before resorting to paraphrasing to salvage DASSK's intransigence.

It's available here: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/26/opinion/26webb.html?_r=3&pagewanted=all

Better yet, he should print the entire comment of DASSK so that we will know exactly what she meant when she said
"that as she was not the one who imposed sanctions against the Burmese regime, she is not in a position to lift those sanctions.”

Otherwise is Nyan Win misquoting DASSK or, worse, lying?

Does DASSK even know what Nyan Win said on her behalf given the fact that Nyan WIn is known to be a poor legal counsel, as pointed out by Derek Tonkin? (http://irrawaddy.org/article.php?art_id=16568)

Now he is whining about tighter restriction on DASSK.

Moe Aung Wrote:
26/08/2009
K,

We know Webb represents US business interests, hence his stance. You've painted here a very plausible picture, since the West is used to seeking opportunities out of crises, and the current crisis they find themselves in is big enough for desperate measures. It would be difficult however to sweep ASSK and all those political prisoners under the carpet.

China's role as the bogeyman is somewhat overplayed particularly by those who emulate the US, even when the junta itself has shown us it's pretty good at handling China and looking after itself.

K Wrote:
20/08/2009
It appears that the US is ready to cut out the middleman and deal directly with the generals.

The US economy is in a dire state. It needs new markets to sell goods, cheaper labor to produce stuff, and cheap energy resources.

And, Burma has it all; 50 million+ consumers artificially kept in sub-standard living conditions; among the lowest wages in the world; rich natural resources (natural gas, and all).

I think, it all comes down to economics. The US needs money and needs it real fast (especially for new initiatives, such as $700 Billion stimulus spending and expensive health care overhaul).

Before long, Yangon streets will be flooded with Ford/ GM cars, HP/ Dell computers, Motorola/ Apple phones, and McDonalds/ BGKings/ KFCs.

tocharian Wrote:
20/08/2009
Webb is trying to prevent Burma from becoming a Chinese colony and he wants US business investment in Burma. Yettaw is just a red herring caught in Inya Lake.

Okkar Wrote:
19/08/2009
Perhaps it is time for opposition groups to realise that the international community no longer entertain their sob stories anymore.

The US interest in Southeast Asia is more important for Americans than keeping a bunch of loud-mouthed, disunited and disgruntled oppostion groups.

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