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COMMENTARY
A Case of Mistaken Priorities
By AUNG ZAW Friday, October 21, 2011


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Outside of Burma, some foreign diplomats and scholars have said that President Thein Sein is a genuine reformist and have compared him to the likes of Gorbachev. But while the initial steps taken by his new government have been welcome, Thein Sein is finding it is easier to convince foreign governments and observers than his own Burmese people that those steps will lead to real reform in the future.

Chief among the recent government actions that have been praised by many in the international community are the release of over 200 political prisoners, the decision to suspend work on the Myitsone dam, the meeting between Thein Sein and Aung San Suu Kyi, the lessening of restrictions on press freedom and the opening up of debate in Parliament.

Aung Zaw is founder and editor of the Irrawaddy magazine. He can be reached at [email protected].

Although everyone agrees that much more needs to be done, Burma has been assured that the US and EU member countries are ready to relax sanctions if the new quasi-civilian government takes more concrete actions going forward, and outside of Burma there has been a growing sense of hope and optimism regarding the nation.

Yet interestingly, many Burmese people living inside the country remain doubtful and distrustful about whether the recent government gestures are a sign that meaningful change is taking place.

The skeptics inside Burma include ordinary citizens as well as activists, Buddhist monks, journalists and the over 1,000 political prisoners who remain behind bars. In addition, the country’s ethnic people have a deep-seated mistrust of the government, and the continued military offensives and human rights abuses in ethnic regions have taken that level of trust down to almost zero.

Dr. Nay Zin Latt, one of Thein Sein’s political advisors, told The Irrawaddy that the Burmese government wants to receive acknowledgement and appreciation for the actions it has taken thus far. He said that foreign diplomats he had spoken to in Naypyidaw seemed to understand this, but also confided that among the Burmese people living inside Burma, there has been a lukewarm reception to recent reforms.

People in Burma remain doubtful, and it seems that for the most part the country’s government and citizens are not on the same page. The only time the government has truly won the hearts and minds of the people was when Thein Sein announced his decision to suspend the controversial Myitsone Dam project in Kachin State.

The skepticism of the people living inside Burma remains high enough that even past critics of the regime feel they must avoid praising the new government too profusely for fear of a backlash from their loyal supporters.

Ludu Sein Win, a veteran journalist and well-known critic of the previous regime who has written several articles encouraging the current administration to take more concrete steps, said he must be careful when he writes, not because of government censors but because of the still-skeptical Burmese people.

Maung Wun Tha, a writer and editorial advisor to the Pyithu Khit (People’s Age) journal who has been writing critical analysis on the current political events in Burma, told The Irrawaddy that he also has to be careful not to overly laud the government’s current steps. His readers will respond quickly and harshly if he does so, he said, and therefore he maintains a cautious tone.

However, Maung Wun Tha also said that the Burmese public is justified in its continued deep level of distrust toward the government despite the easing of certain oppressive restrictions. He points to widespread disappointment regarding the government’s decision to include only around 200 political prisoners, and no leaders of the 88’ Generation Students group, in its recent amnesty program—although some opposition and government sources have suggested that the 88 Generation Students group leaders will be released soon.

On October 11, the state-sponsored Myanmar National Human Rights Commission—of which several members had been strong defenders of the previous regime’s appalling human rights record—sent a request to the president to free those “prisoners of conscience” who do not pose a threat to state stability and public tranquility, so they could participate in nation-building tasks for the benefit of the Burmese society.

The next day, Thein Sein signed an amnesty letter ordering that 6,359 prisoners be released.



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COMMENTS (10)
 
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Min Nway Wrote:
28/10/2011
I am so sad to learn the comparison of Thein Sein to Gorbachev. It is so funny.
We should never forget that Thein Sein came from a group of dictators, awarded the post by his boss for obedience and faithful services to him.

How can we forget the killing of innocent students and monks and all our suffering generated by thein Sein and his followers for decades.

Even if he was personally not invilved in all the misdeed ,he still was indirectly responsible.

I am very sure that Magic and tricks of Thein Sein will be revealed --if students ,monks and all our citizens demonstrate for true democracy on the streets.

Remember Dictator is still the Dictator until he gives up his position and power for democracy.

Dan BW Wrote:
24/10/2011
I completely agree with the writer. The new Burmese government first priority should be the people of Burma, their concern, their well-being, their trust and their rights, the quality of their lives including all the ethnic groups. Once they win the heart of the people, the international community will follow. But now, the new government seems like they are wearing a pretty mask to the international community while they are committing a crime against humanity against ethnic peole, opening offensive wars against ethnic people, and holding political prisoners.

Shwe Aung Wrote:
24/10/2011
If your friend cheated you only one time,you would not trust your friend again no matter what changes and/or corrections your friend would do in future.

Everybody can make mistakes.

You are not willing to welcome the peoples who try to correct the situation.

KML Wrote:
23/10/2011
President U Thein Sein’s to do list are:
• To earn the TRUST of ethnic and religious nationalities
• Not to embarrass former senior colleagues and their cronies in the military rank and file
• To deal positively with DAASK and NLD
• To deal positively with oppositions outside the country
• To repatriate refugees & IDPs
• To deal with oppositions in the current parliament ( RNDP etc..)
• To please EU, US & ASEAN
• To maintain Chinese strategic interest on Burma to look for some balance ( eg. India)
• Development of the country: Economy, Education, Health & Human Rights..
• Fight corruption
• Re-frame country’s Defence force
It is up to the President to prioritize the list with timeline ( eg Gann Chart). Otherwise time will not permit this window of golden opportunity for Burma to drag too long.

Ohn Wrote:
23/10/2011
There IS no Thein Sein and no government. These are just for intellectual sounding "democrats" inside and outside Burma to make wise mullings. There is only Than Shwe and his sole adviser Kyaing Kyaing. That's all. Than Shwe wants the ASEAN chair for weird reason and he has allowed his boys to spend some facade for it. These prisoners can be any number. It is easily done. Pick them up, release, pick them up release. Releasing the real criminals in thousands is bad news. Usually military does it only at the time of riots.

Myitsone dam is simply Than Shwe double crossing the Chinese. He and Tin Aung Myint Oo's buddies Steven Law got the money for selling out the Irrawaddy river and felt that he doesn't want to sell after all. People's desire!!! Grow up.

Moe Aung Wrote:
23/10/2011
For one thing Thein Sein is no Gorbachev, only a placeman of Than Shwe, and Burmese strongmen have displayed an innate unwillingness to leave the stage altogether. They can't help pulling strings behind the scenes.

The way the amnesty was implemented is also in sharp contrast with the suspension of the Myitsone Dam Project where they gave a nod to the 'people's desire', with a view to making political capital out of both.

It's from long experience of the same outfit in various setups that, "among the Burmese people living inside Burma, there has been a lukewarm reception to recent reforms."

The ethnic question too is not going to go away; the civil war has lasted the entire history of independent Burma. It's a great tragedy that military might remains the sole instrument in achieving their stated mission of stopping Balkanization since 1962(the 1947 Constitution was modeled after Yugoslavia).

They didn't just earn mistrust they've made it a habit. To them no mistake in priorities.

kerry Wrote:
22/10/2011
This accurate perceptive commentary is being read and noted and circulated globally.

'synthetic' and 'fabricated' and 'fake' changes have been done to death in Burma. True, genuine negotiations are easy for all to see. Anything less is costing more precious human lives, and Burma has surely had enough of that horrible internal and external callousness.

The game is in effect up for the military, as long as the world holds firm, and the people are consulted all the way.

Wen Jiabao's upset feelings are less relevant than real Burmese lives!

Myanmar Patriots Wrote:
22/10/2011
President U Thein-Sein has my full support.

Please be patient. Everything is doing just fine. Patience is a virtue.

Give Myanmar Naingngandaw a chance.

With Metta/Myitta


Ehipassika Wrote:
22/10/2011
Burma is a glass of water full a half, compared with being nothing in the past _ much said by some of political analysts_ but it is a mere fallacy without longsighted vision as a whole. With the length of time near a half year of so- called civilian administration like such an era, the glass should be filled with at least two- thirds or more water. If there is reluctant in its reforms, there would be a danger of disintegration of its union as well as an eradication of Burmese map on the world geography.

Germane Wrote:
22/10/2011
No on is better than your own people. Others are suckers. Just realize that or danger looms for Burma because justice is not only in the hands of humans, it is well nigh in the hands of gods. Just wait and see if you don't have a conscience.

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