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COMMENTARY
Too Soon for Optimism
By YENI Tuesday, October 27, 2009


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Burmese Prime Minister Gen Thein Sein told Asian leaders at a Thailand summit that the detained pro-democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi can contribute to national reconciliation, according to Thai Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva.

"He (Thein Sein) briefed us on some of the dialogue that is taking place and he feels optimistic that she can contribute also to the process of national reconciliation," said Abhisit in the Thai resort town of Hua Hin during a three-day summit of the 10-nation Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean), also attended by Chinese, Japanese, Korean, Indian, Australian and New Zealand leaders.

Abhisit’s statement came a day after Japanese Foreign Ministry spokesman Kazuo Kodama quoted Thein Sein as saying that if Suu Kyi maintained "a good attitude," the Burmese junta would consider relaxing the conditions of her house arrest.

This is believed to be the first time a Burmese junta leader has officially discussed Suu Kyi and the national reconciliation issue at an Asean summit. At previous meetings, any attempt to raise the issue resulted in a blank refusal by the Burmese representatives to discuss the matter.

As a result, Asean leaders were seized by a mood of optimism. Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh said: "There was an atmosphere of hope that the leadership is moving towards normalizing its relationship with the US [and] that next year's election should see a reconciliation of the various segments of Myanmar (Burmese) society."

However, it would be wrong to interpret Thein Sein’s reported comments to mean that the junta will allow Suu Kyi any role in the general election planned for next year.

Suu Kyi is still detained at her lakeside residence after being sentenced to a further term of 18 months by a Rangoon court in August. The regime has never loosened its restrictions on the activities of her party, the National League for Democracy (NLD). In the past six years, Suu Kyi has been granted a total of only seven hours and 25 minutes to discuss state affairs with members of the NLD executive committee.

Of course, it must be encouraging news to learn that Suu Kyi had separate meetings recently with Aung Kyi, the labour minister and official liaison between her and the regime, and Rangoon-based Western diplomats.

The Japanese foreign ministry’s spokesman quoted the Burmese prime minister as saying at the Asean summit that Suu Kyi appeared to have “softened her attitude to the Myanmar (Burma) authorities.” Thein Sein had also said "the US seems to have softened its position on Myanmar [Burma],” the spokesman said.

The meeting with Western diplomats discussed the sanctions issue, and came after Suu Kyi wrote to junta leader Snr-Gen Than Shwe saying she wanted to work together with the regime to end the sanctions. The flurry of activity in Rangoon followed the US administration announcement that it hoped to engage the Burmese military junta in a dialogue.

The US is planning to send a fact-finding delegation to Burma soon to continue talks begun in September in New York with senior Burmese officials, the first such high-level contact in nearly a decade. The talks are regarded in Washington as an effort to pursue deeper engagement with the junta to try to urge democratic reform.

It is believed that Kurt Campbell, the assistant secretary of state for East Asia and Pacific Affairs, who is the Obama administration’s point man for the new US-Burma policy, will lead the delegation, provided the junta allows access to Suu Kyi and other opposition leaders.

Currently the Burmese regime seems to be regaining points lost in its weakening diplomatic offensive that followed the absurd trial of Suu Kyi for giving refuge to the American John W Yettaw. 

However, the regime's promises must be treated with skepticism because of its persistent failure to keep its word. The next few months will be a testing period for Burmese generals—if they really want to gain trust, they need to match their words with actions.

In this regard, the ruling generals must immediately release Aung San Suu Kyi, other NLD leaders and all political prisoners; must allow the NLD and other opposition parties to function normally as political parties; grant every citizen freedom of speech, movement and association; and start political dialogue between the government, the democratic opposition and the ethnic minorities to reach a shared vision about the way forward in Burma.

Then the planned 2010 elections will indeed become part of the process of national reconciliation.



COMMENTS (5)
 
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pLan B Wrote:
30/10/2009
Play the cards. Play it well. Leave the table and forfeit all on the table. Play to win or play not to lose. Play the west must. And correctly this time.

SPDC played well for the past 20+years, all because of the West's sloppy handling. DASSK is the prime example.

pLan B Wrote:
29/10/2009
James O'Brien
Thank you for your interest in the well being of the citizenry of Myanmar.
My I kindly suggest you read some of these articles to bring yourself up to speed:
1)http://www.pbs.org/wnet/wideangle/episodes/eyes-of-the-storm/aaron-brown-interview-maureen-aung-thwin/5439/
2)http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_hb6479/is_3_30/ai_n31178685/
3)http://www.econ.mq.edu.au/burma_economic_watch
I hope to see you in a more formidable position as a contributor in the near future.
Welcome and regards

MW Wrote:
28/10/2009
From blank refusal to a conditional stand if she maintains a good attitude? Is that what is to seize us in a mood of optimism? Oh, come on! How much more do we swallow before knowing that they are... well they are... sort of disgusting? Not tired with entertaining nonsense, the junta will give us more optimism-coated obscenities in exchange for our golden silence to disprove their 2010 bogus election. Eventually all killing, jailing, abusing, removing, disgracing, displacing that are relentlessly committed by them will be leagalised; and all those they relish to continue doing so for generations on end will be constitutionalised.
And for all consequences to mankind, history will put the junta and us together as accomplices. What luck! Over to you folks -the fellow humans near and far, with humanity and a sense of justice in their hearts.

Anonymous Wrote:
28/10/2009
If the junta is serious it should really talk without going through its sham election and give Aung San Suu Kyi and the NLD ministerial posts—after all, they already won in 1990.

One gets tired of reading fiction made up by the junta as if it were non-fiction.

James O'Brien.

George Than Setkyar Heines Wrote:
28/10/2009
The ruling generals will not release Aung San Suu Kyi nor all political prisoners, much less allow the NLD and other parties to function normally or grant citizens to exercise their rights unless Daw Suu and NLD as a whole capitulate to Than Shwe's ruse to rule Burma until eternity.

Hence, why are all these people hooting for Than Shwe's farce (2010 elections) instead of hollering for a review of his self-serving constitution with no iota of democratic flavor?

They should be condemned to hell after wallowing in the saliva of civilized society in case the monk murderer gets away with his 2010 elections and continues his grip on power while enriching himself and his cronies.

Only an idiot would interpret Thein Sein’s comments to mean that the junta will play fair with Daw Suu or in the political process of Burma.

Campbell's trip to Burma just for election process and without insisting on a constitution review would be deemed as only throwing Daw Suu and her people to the wolves at Naypyidaw.

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