For the junta, the convention represents a political way out. That’s why the generals have consistently tried to stage the convention under their full control and guidance.
This time, the ceasefire groups are indispensable if the junta is to show that even without the main opposition parties the convention is a valid, inclusive forum.
With this in mind, Lt-Gen Thein Sein, chairman of the National Convention Committee and the junta’s Secretary-1, has had several meetings with ceasefire groups in an effort to seal their participation.
In fact, the junta has used ceasefire groups as a playing card in its political game. Now the ceasefire groups should show they have cards of at least equal strength, developing a winning strategy to employ within the convention. Otherwise, this is a game they’ll surely lose.
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